The well promoted chilly spell continues to be on the right track for this coming week. As a matter of fact, take a look at the below visuals showing GFS Ensemble temperature abnormalities in the 5 to 10 day range.

Gefs_t2m_mean_conus_d5_10

Someplace around 80 to 90 % of the US is anticipating below typical temperatures and also in a lot of cases METHOD HERE where they need to be for this time of the year.

Keep in mind the legend on the left. This is in Celcius, so the -10° & deg; in our location really stands for temps like around 20 degrees below normal in Farhenheit!

OK, so we understand it will be chilly, but can we seen any kind of snow???

The brief solution to that one is YES.

Although we can see a few snow spurts arriving with the heart of the frozen blast on Thursday, an additional system on the right track for following Sunday (Nov. 16th) is of more interest.

For several runs in a row, the GFS has been predicting a southerly track low to develop along the Gulf Shore Sunday early morning just before raising northward into the Appalachians Sunday night.

Gfs_ptype_slp_east_33

Although this is an unusual track for this time around of the year, with a lot of cold air in position, this scenario would potentially be a light snow mold for our area.

Now just before you snow fans get also fired up, recognize that our other main lengthy variety version has a significantly various sollution.

Exactly what does the EURO state?

The EURO makes this a more powerful system and brings the surface low MUCH further north.

Ecmwf_slp_precip_east_33

This is a quite traditional situation for us this time around of the year as well as would certainly suggest WHOLE LOTS OF RAINFALL and perhaps a few spurts on the backside of this system in our location.

So exactly what do I think?

While I would hedge my bets in the direction of the EURO option (Rainfall) at this range for next Sunday, it deserves keeping in mind that the weather condition design we are checking out later on this week is NOT NORMAL for this time around of the year. So although the GFS is revealing an unusual storm system for Nov, you can not compose it off right now.

I would certainly submit this under NEEDS TO BE KEPT AN EYE ON.

We’ll recognize a lot more over the next few days. Rick will certainly have a full upgrade on exactly what to anticipate initial point on WDRB in the Morning.

WDRB Meteorologist Jeremy Kappell

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